There are evidences indicating the critical situation within MKO. It is far more serious than what the organization has been suffering through the past recent years. Two strategic causes, among some others, seem to be noteworthy:
1- Uncertainty of the organization’s next destination to encamp
2- The start of countdown to the US president election
In his messages delivered from the hideout after a long interval and incommunicado, Rajavi has reiterated two important issues; the preservation of Camp Ashraf regardless of the price it might cost and the promise that the Iranian regime would collapse in a span of two years. In a message issued in 2006, he fixed January 2009 as the deadline for the collapse. In fact, when he was fixing the time, the Bush Administration had just entered the countdown to its last two years and Rajavi promised that if nothing happen at the end of the two years, all the Ashraf residents were free to stay or leave: “Anyone who wants may leave, and I will myself throw out all those who are worthless. I will keep the rest who are pure, and then, I will tell them what they can do for me”.
It is not the first time Rajavi has fixed a deadline. But even if his prediction of intensification of the tension between the US and Iran that could led to war came true, no fish would be the share of MKO out of this troubled water. The ploy has so far worked for Rajavi, since he believes that to promise the insiders the moon at least can keep them waiting a bit more.
Something is different this time. On the one hand, Rajavi has fixed a deadline; and on the other hand, the Iraqi government is determined to expel MKO from Iraq. There are other factors, like a new assessment by American intelligence agencies that Iran halted its nuclear weapons program in 2003, which have totally disappointed MKO. Disclosure of Iran’s nuclear threat made the cornerstone of the group’s democratic campaign; an issue that MKO believed could keep the friction between Iran and other countries at its highest.
However, Rajavi’s fixed deadline is the question of to be or not to be, the survival or demise of MKO. A device is needed to measure the pulse rate of MKO to be vigilant of the time passing; a sand-clock seems to suffice. The significance of a sand-clock lies in the fact that first it can make Rajavi sit watching the countdown to his fixed deadline and stop him of making empty rhetoric. Second, it grants Ashraf residents and other members in Western countries enough time for further contemplation and to decide for their future. Third, it counts and illustrates the last remained days of the organization to think of any ploy to escape the cries.
Noteworthy, Rajavi’s deadline for the first time delineates the truth over which the members have long been kept in dark. At least through the past three decades, Rajavi in many occasions has outlined short and long-term plans for toppling the Iranian regime, none of which came true. Following the failed strategy of the armed struggle and its proscription as a terrorist organization, MKO temporarily abandoned the guerrilla warfare and resorted to a gambit of pro-democracy. Even its pseudo-democratic activities that were nothing beyond mercenary and espionage acts proved to be unproductive.
The promised deadline decides Rajavi’s own destiny and that of his forces. Besides, it grants the members an opportunity, after many years of indecisiveness, to make a rational decision. The sand-clock might keep them alert of Rajavi’s further tricks if he intends to take them in by his tempting promises. Rajavi is well aware that he cannot possibly hold the members through a verity of cult-like brainwashing techniques and persuasion against their will forever. The sand-clock keeps count of the days that promises the insiders’ release from the bond of the terrorist cult of the Rajavis and the therapy that they would eventually receive to be relieved of the mind-numbing techniques that had long blocked critical and evaluative thinking and had subjugated their independent choice in a context of strictly enforced cult hierarchy.
Mojahedin.ws,December 28, 2007
